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HHT: 23CSV

07 Oct 2023 · 18:00

Caen

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.9%
Rodez
19.1%
Draw
19.1%
Caen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Rodez

vs
1.04

Caen

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.537.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.0%
0-0
3.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).