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AHT: 12CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.1%
Kidderminster
31.0%
Draw
49.9%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Kidderminster

vs
1.30

Southend

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).