Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Newport County
25.2%
Draw
38.5%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Newport County
vs
1.33
Barrow
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).