Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Mansfield
15.6%
Draw
61.2%
Carlton Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Mansfield
vs
3.25
Carlton Town
Markets
BTTS84.1%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.596.9%
Over 2.590.1%
Over 3.578.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-3
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-4
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
3-3
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-4
3.4%
2-5
3.2%
1-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).