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HHT: 10CSV

03 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Tranmere
23.0%
Draw
51.9%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Tranmere

vs
1.71

Bradford

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).