Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Akron
25.1%
Draw
43.1%
Spartak Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Akron
vs
1.79
Spartak Moskva
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).