Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Bristol City
29.1%
Draw
26.7%
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Bristol City
vs
1.03
Preston
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).