Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Logrones
28.3%
Draw
23.4%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Logrones
vs
0.82
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS40.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).