Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Alloa
28.0%
Draw
4.6%
Stranraer
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Alloa
vs
0.19
Stranraer
Markets
BTTS12.9%
Over 0.578.1%
Over 1.545.7%
Over 2.520.0%
Over 3.57.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
28.7%
0-0
21.9%
2-0
19.6%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-1
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
3-1
1.6%
5-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).