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28 Dec 2022 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.9%
Olympiakos
15.3%
Draw
3.8%
Asteras Tripolis

Expected Goals (xG)

2.28

Olympiakos

vs
0.35

Asteras Tripolis

Markets

BTTS26.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
18.8%
1-0
16.0%
3-0
14.2%
4-0
8.1%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
1-1
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
5-0
3.7%
4-1
2.8%
0-1
2.0%
5-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).