Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
Osasuna
21.9%
Draw
57.5%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Osasuna
vs
2.00
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS58.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
0-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
1-0
4.7%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).