Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.4%
Draw
27.1%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.95
Crewe
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).