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HHT: 11CSV

04 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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89.6%
Barnet
8.0%
Draw
2.4%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

3.36

Barnet

vs
0.49

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS37.8%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
13.4%
2-0
12.0%
4-0
11.3%
5-0
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
3.8%
5-1
3.7%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).