Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Fakel
38.4%
Draw
45.7%
Akhmat Grozny
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Fakel
vs
0.97
Akhmat Grozny
Markets
BTTS24.2%
Over 0.574.8%
Over 1.543.2%
Over 2.517.4%
Over 3.55.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
25.2%
0-1
21.9%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
5.2%
0-3
3.6%
2-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-2
1.2%
0-4
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).