Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Modena
31.8%
Draw
32.6%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Modena
vs
1.07
Palermo
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).