Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Amorebieta
27.1%
Draw
47.3%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Amorebieta
vs
1.38
Malaga
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).