Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Spezia
25.6%
Draw
46.4%
Torino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Spezia
vs
1.48
Torino
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).