Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Maidenhead
25.5%
Draw
21.4%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Maidenhead
vs
1.03
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).