Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Rijeka
28.7%
Draw
15.0%
Varaždin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Rijeka
vs
0.67
Varaždin
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).