Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Colchester
22.7%
Draw
16.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Colchester
vs
0.73
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
3.1%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).