⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

01 Dec 2018

Forfar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.5%
Stranraer
45.7%
Draw
38.8%
Forfar

Expected Goals (xG)

0.34

Stranraer

vs
0.69

Forfar

Markets

BTTS14.9%
Over 0.563.7%
Over 1.528.0%
Over 2.58.6%
Over 3.52.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
36.3%
0-1
24.1%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-0
2.0%
0-3
2.0%
2-1
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-2
0.5%
0-4
0.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).