Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Luton
20.3%
Draw
19.1%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Luton
vs
0.94
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).