Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.6%
Ath Bilbao
26.1%
Draw
21.3%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.89
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).