Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Cartagena
24.6%
Draw
56.8%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Cartagena
vs
1.61
Espanol
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).