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DHT: 00CSV

26 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Dumbarton
22.3%
Draw
29.4%
Montrose

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Dumbarton

vs
1.59

Montrose

Markets

BTTS70.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).