Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.7%
Aris
4.8%
Draw
1.5%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.75
Aris
vs
0.39
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS31.4%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.0%
4-0
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
5-0
9.9%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
4-1
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
5-1
3.8%
1-1
2.3%
0-0
1.5%
3-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).