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AHT: 01CSV

05 Nov 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.7%
Stranraer
38.2%
Draw
55.1%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

0.19

Stranraer

vs
0.97

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS11.0%
Over 0.568.2%
Over 1.532.6%
Over 2.511.1%
Over 3.53.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
31.8%
0-1
30.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-1
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-2
2.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-0
0.6%
2-1
0.5%
2-2
0.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).