Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Barnsley
29.3%
Draw
45.3%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Barnsley
vs
1.37
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).