Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Heidenheim
18.1%
Draw
68.8%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Heidenheim
vs
2.51
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS59.8%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.6%
0-1
6.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-4
4.8%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).