Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Forest Green
26.1%
Draw
47.6%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Forest Green
vs
1.40
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).