Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Lugo
33.3%
Draw
46.4%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Lugo
vs
1.05
Leganes
Markets
BTTS28.5%
Over 0.580.5%
Over 1.548.3%
Over 2.522.4%
Over 3.58.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.6%
0-0
19.5%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
0-3
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-2
1.8%
0-4
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).