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AHT: 00CSV

24 Oct 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.0%
Crewe
22.5%
Draw
54.5%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.05

Crewe

vs
1.76

Stockport

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).