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AHT: 01CSV

28 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Gillingham
27.0%
Draw
44.4%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Gillingham

vs
1.29

Bradford

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).