Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.9%
Benfica
7.1%
Draw
3.0%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
Benfica
vs
0.53
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
4-0
10.9%
5-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.0%
4-1
5.8%
5-1
4.0%
1-1
3.4%
3-2
1.8%
0-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).