Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Cagliari
29.2%
Draw
28.5%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Cagliari
vs
0.91
Parma
Markets
BTTS41.3%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).