Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Exeter
28.7%
Draw
34.9%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Exeter
vs
0.98
Bolton
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
0-1
14.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).