Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Bradford
22.0%
Draw
13.6%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Bradford
vs
0.63
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.1%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).