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10 Aug 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Panathinaikos
28.5%
Draw
44.7%
Djurgården

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Panathinaikos

vs
1.49

Djurgården

Markets

BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).