Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Caen
24.3%
Draw
37.4%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Caen
vs
1.30
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).