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AHT: 01CSV

13 Apr 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.6%
Weymouth
24.3%
Draw
45.1%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Weymouth

vs
1.83

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS65.8%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).