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12 Apr 2021 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.8%
Alanyaspor
34.3%
Draw
19.9%
Denizlispor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Alanyaspor

vs
0.84

Denizlispor

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.585.7%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.9%
0-0
14.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).