Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.2%
Kendal Town
17.1%
Draw
18.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Kendal Town
vs
1.36
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS68.7%
Over 0.598.3%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
4-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.6%
4-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).