Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.8%
Moreirense
22.5%
Draw
67.7%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
Moreirense
vs
1.81
Porto
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-2
15.6%
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
0-3
9.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
4.6%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).