Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.1%
Zorya Luhansk
14.2%
Draw
8.7%
Poltava
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Zorya Luhansk
vs
0.86
Poltava
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
1-1
6.5%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.6%
3-2
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).