Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Ibiza
25.3%
Draw
60.6%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Ibiza
vs
1.53
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.6%
0-2
14.1%
0-0
12.0%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
3.1%
0-4
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
2-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).