Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.4%
Paris SG
10.3%
Draw
7.3%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Paris SG
vs
0.95
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.7%
Over 3.561.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
4-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
1-0
4.9%
5-0
4.7%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).