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07 Feb 2021 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.8%
Reggiana
32.0%
Draw
30.2%
Virtus Entella

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Reggiana

vs
1.00

Virtus Entella

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).