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05 Mar 2026 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.9%
Basel
27.0%
Draw
17.1%
Grasshopper

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Basel

vs
0.92

Grasshopper

Markets

BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
1-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).