Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
St Truiden
20.9%
Draw
15.4%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
St Truiden
vs
0.96
Dender
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).