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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.6%
Fatih Karagümrük
35.3%
Draw
40.1%
Genclerbirligi

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Fatih Karagümrük

vs
1.25

Genclerbirligi

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.5%
0-0
14.4%
0-1
10.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).